

Top Rules to Fight and Win the Next Space War Thus, space warfare adds new and subtler rungs on the conflict escalation ladder, where countries can express intent and resolve to their adversaries without necessarily inducing terrestrial conflict. Another conclusion of this article is that, due to the remoteness of space, countries that take actions against an adversary’s satellites can do so under a cloud of secrecy, without the general population of the world becoming aware of these aggressive actions. Thus, one of the conclusions of this “Top Rules” study is that space warfare favors the offense. A recent unclassified computer simulation by the author showed that 95 percent of possible space attacks could be completed within 24 hours, which is before any reactions on the ground can be contemplated, approved, or executed. Even for those few countries that possess significant space sensor systems, it is very difficult to continuously track satellites that initiate their maneuvers in areas with no sensor coverage (i.e., Antarctica). In addition, very few countries possess the worldwide space surveillance assets to track movements of suspicious space objects that may be maneuvering toward critical national assets. These “Top Rules” are an extrapolation of well-established principles of war for terrestrial conflicts applied to the unique space environment, where orbital dynamics restrict what is possible for anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon systems attack profiles.ĭue to the large distances (tens of thousands of kilometers) between the Earth and military satellites, it is difficult to track and fully image these systems to assess their abilities as potential threats to national security. Based on the author’s study of military history for over 50 years and his direct involvement with space warfare programs for the past 43 years, he has developed general rules by which the next space war will be conducted. Because of the lack of significant experience by countries in this new military domain, it is difficult to fully understand what the best doctrine, strategies, and tactics are to win the next space war. There is significant buildup of space warfare capabilities by some major countries that rely on space systems for their defense or perceive that their potential adversaries depend too much on space capabilities to conduct terrestrial warfare. The future of space warfare is rapidly approaching.
